It seems appropriate that we throw Eric Milton into the fire today. Try to be reasonable with your projections as the better you project, the more realistic the final result will be. And don't let today's 40 pitches influence you too much, good or bad.
For starting pitchers, give us his:
Here are Milton's career numbers: http://www.baseball-reference.com/m/miltoer01.shtml
You can see some projections on Milton here: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=743&position=P
Also, PECOTA numbers can be found here (in the comments): http://www.redreporter.com/story/2007/1/17/215857/271