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Who's the AL Cy Young?

The official AL Cy Young winner will be announced November 13th. Here's your chance to sound off. I'm including defensive independent ERA (DERA) from BP, adjusted ERA+, the usual suspects (WHIP, strikeouts, walks and home runs allowed), David Gassko's Pitching Runs Created, pitcher's VORP and THT's Win Shares. Apologies to Roy Halladay, who threw 7 compete games but didn't do an outstanding job of preventing runs, and J.J. Putz, who probably had the best season for a closer.


Josh Beckett  ERA DERA ERA+ IP    WHIP  K  BB HR PRC  VORP  WS
    20-7      3.27 3.34 145 200.7 1.14 194 40 17 120  58.6  19

He's the win king for what that's worth. He also tossed 4 complete games while anchoring Boston's stellar rotation. Official ballots have to be in at the end of the season so no bonus for playoff heroics.


Erik Bedard   ERA DERA ERA+ IP    WHIP  K  BB HR PRC  VORP  WS
    13-5      3.16 3.05 146 182.0 1.09 221 57 19 114  54.9  19

I was going to drop Bedard from this list because he threw 40 fewer innings than most here. But while everyone else's DERA is worse than their actually ERA, his improved significantly to lead the field. He also led the league in strikeout rate. His is the only WHIP in Johan's ballpark.


Fausto Carmona ERA DERA ERA+ IP    WHIP  K  BB HR PRC  VORP  WS
    19-8      3.06 3.15 151 215.0  1.21 137 61 16 116  64.0  22    

The youngster ties Lackey for the lead in ERA+. His VORP is just behind teammate Sabathia's. Not a big K guy, but he allowed very few home runs.


Dan Haren      ERA DERA ERA+ IP    WHIP  K  BB HR PRC  VORP  WS
    15-9      3.07 3.54 137 222.7  1.21 192 55 24 115  56.4  19

Solid season for Haren, but his pretty ERA doesn't look so hot when you adjust for defense or park. Haren threw 5 complete games.


John Lackey    ERA DERA ERA+ IP    WHIP  K  BB HR PRC  VORP  WS
    19-9      3.01 3.25 151 224.0  1.21 179 52 18 120  60.7  22

Lackey led the league in ERA and tied for adjusted ERA+ with Carmona.


C.C. Sabathia  ERA DERA ERA+ IP    WHIP  K  BB HR PRC  VORP  WS
    19-7      3.21 3.35 143 241.0  1.14 209 37 20 131  65.2  24

Sabathia led the league in innings pitched and threw 4 complete games. He leads in all the advanced metrics here, PRC, VORP and WS which warms my cold robotic heart.


Johan Santana  ERA DERA ERA+ IP    WHIP  K  BB HR PRC  VORP  WS
    15-13     3.33 3.55 130 219.0  1.07 235 52 33 123  57.7  18

A "down" year for Johan, mainly because of the home runs allowed, but he's perineally excellent. Led in WHIP and finished second to Kazmir in strikeouts.

Poll
Who's your AL Cy Young?
  • Beckett
  • Bedard
  • Carmona
  • Haren
  • Lackey
  • Sabathia
  • Santana
  • Other

  23 votes | Results

0 recs | Comment 4 comments

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Comments

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Whether he deserves it or not...
I bet Josh Beckett wins the AL Cy Young!
Put in a quarter...Turn out the lights...Magic Fingers makes ya feel alright!

by chandrathan on Nov 7, 2007 7:25 PM EST   0 recs

He's a lock, I'd think
The only 20 game winner, especially a year after there were none.  Pitching for the FoxPN Yank Sox (as opposed to those other 28 unimportant teams) only underlines his deservedness.
just....wow.

by sidnancy on Nov 7, 2007 8:29 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

i think this one is easy
its definately C.C.  i wouldnt call it a slam-dunk, but he's definately it.  take at look at his IP.  he threw 20 more than any other candidate.  i know thats not exactly the most telling stat, but with all other stats being roughly equal, that kind of production is a difference maker.  being out there and dominating more (not in degree but in time) is big.  

that and the fact that he can beat the tobacco spit out of anyone else in the major leagues makes him my pick.

at least this isnt pittsburgh

by Charlie Scrabbles on Nov 7, 2007 8:13 PM EST   0 recs

congrats aaron harag for garning 3 3rd place votes
it is a morale victory.
The Dusty path to the World Series!

by justin0070000 on Nov 7, 2007 8:51 PM EST   0 recs

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