Report: Reds Emerge as front Runner for Cordero
From Ken Rosenthal:
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7480854
The Cincinnati Reds, moving toward the first big acquisition of the Dusty Baker era, are in serious talks with free-agent closer Francisco Cordero, major-league sources say.
Cordero is still talking to three clubs, but it is believed that the Reds have emerged as the front-runner over the Brewers and an unidentified third team.
Update [2007-11-23 17:30:8 by boobs]: Looks like it's official. link

The Brewers, who are on the verge of losing setup man Scott Linebrink to the White Sox, offered Cordero a four-year, $42 million contract, sources say.
Cordero, 32, would fill a major void for the Reds, who last season converted only 54.8 percent of their save opportunities, the lowest percentage in the National League.
By signing Cordero, the Reds could shift right-hander David Weathers back to a setup role. Weathers, 38, performed admirably as a fill-in closer last season, converting 33 of 39 save chances.
Cordero was 44-for-51 for the Brewers while going 0-4 with a 2.98 ERA and striking out 86 in 63 1/3 innings. He made the All-Star team for the second time in his career.
Very interesting. Big contracts for closers can always be risky, but I see good things with Burton and Weathers in set-up and Cordero closing. We'd have two legit power arms in Burton and Cordero which could be a plus.
Here is a take from MLB Trade Rumors
According to Rosenthal, the Reds have emerged as front runners. Competing are the Brewers and a mystery team, possibly the Yankees, who expressed interest in Cordero if Mariano Rivera bolted town. The closer has since returned, though, likely eliminating the Yankees from consideration. The Astros are also believed to be interested in Cordero, though the same can be said for about 80 percent of the free agent market.
This would move David Weathers back to a setup role, where he would fit in well. The Reds bullpen would still be weak, but at least they'd improve on their league-worst 54.8 percent save conversion rate.
It appears that the Reds front office believes the team can contend in the next two years. Why else give big money (and forfeit a second round pick) for a big-name closer? The Reds have considerable young talent in Joey Votto, Josh Hamilton, Jay Bruce, Brandon Phillips, and Edwin Encarnacion, in addition to Ken Griffey Jr. and Adam Dunn.
Combined with Scott Hatteberg, who had an effective year in limited duty, the Reds might actually have a logjam of sorts in the outfield and first base. Could they possibly move some of the excess for some pitching help? Adding another bullpen arm or a starter to go along with Aaron Harang, Bronson Arroyo, and Homer Bailey could be the keys to the Reds contention.
You gotta agree a lot with what is said.
Thoughts anyone?
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240 comments
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BOO!
Only way I am cool with this is if our payroll takes a signifacant jump. If Cordero is the reason we can't lock Dunn up long term, I will poop my pants.
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 23, 2007 1:27 PM EST
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Your point is valid
If this guy can take our save percentage from 55 percent to 85 percent, he would be well worth the money, IMO.
by MixFMKyle on
Nov 23, 2007 1:34 PM EST
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Agreed
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 23, 2007 1:42 PM EST
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I'd say yes
by MixFMKyle on
Nov 23, 2007 1:45 PM EST
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but at what cost?
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 23, 2007 1:53 PM EST
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100 IP?
Then again, the Reds bullpen this decade has pretty much been patterned around the "develop talent and find bargain arms" mold.
If the Reds are going to spend $45 million/4 years on a pitcher, would you prefer Cordero or the best available free agent starter who will sign for that amount?
by LooseCannon on
Nov 23, 2007 4:37 PM EST
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I'd prefer Cordero over Silva or Lohse
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 23, 2007 5:45 PM EST
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No!!!
by Zach K on
Nov 23, 2007 2:01 PM EST
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Burton
by Caleb on
Nov 24, 2007 8:46 AM EST
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hmm
However, I can't see this team going into the season with another "Hopefully this works out" plan for closing games. With Cordero, you overpay, but you know you have a closer. End of story. With Burton, you keep your fingers crossed and hopefully it works out.
If their strategery is to spend money on bullpen and trade for starting pitching, then I think it is one that is sound.
Cordero may be expensive, but at least he's expensive and good. Signing a SP the likes of Kyle Lohse for $12mil per year is untenable.
The NL Central is so winnable next year, my manboobs hurt.
by bobestes on
Nov 23, 2007 2:27 PM EST
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Cordero would be a good fit
We lost way way too many games because we had no 8th inning set up man and although, we had a successful closer with Stormy, this team as it is starting to shake out could be pretty exciting with Cordero, Burton,Weather and Coutalingus at the end of the game (7,8 & 9). If the contract length is right go for him.
by Madville on
Nov 23, 2007 2:28 PM EST
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It won't be right
Cordero is a classic signing where you hold your nose, sign that contract, and pray for the best.
He'll probably not live up to the contract the last year or two, but if they make the playoffs next year, it will have been a good deal. This deal is basically a big roll of the dice that we're ready to go in 2008.
Sounds like Jay Bruce up in June is a foregone conclusion. Gotta mind that service time. Jay Bruce in Cincinnati makes me happy.
by bobestes on
Nov 23, 2007 2:35 PM EST
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Also
Overpaying always sucks, but some overpaying is better than others, I guess.
by bobestes on
Nov 23, 2007 2:44 PM EST
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He's flippable
by LooseCannon on
Nov 23, 2007 4:43 PM EST
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Wow... and, hmmmm.
But, if he signs with us, that likely means he's turning down 4 years at $42 million to stay where he already is. So, either he wants a bigger, better contract, or he really hated Milwaukee. Seeing how the Brewers had a pretty nice year and seem like a decent team, I would have to think the Reds will need to give him a long term deal for a lot of money - more than Harang?
Well.. I guess you have to spend big these days - and, thank jeebus its not my money. If nothing else, at least its fun to see the Reds mentioned somewhere this winter.
by TheC on
Nov 23, 2007 3:01 PM EST
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As I said a week or so ago...
Sign Cordero and deal some of the offensive excess for a solid starter and decent reliever, and we'll have a good team.
C Ross/Valentin
1B Votto/Hatteberg/Cantu
2B Phillips
SS Gonzalez/Keppinger
3B Encarnacion
LF Dunn
CF Hamilton/Bruce/Hopper/Freel
RF Griffey
Personally, I'd look to move Hamilton for one of the younger starters on the market. There are tons of teams looking for a CF this offseason, and the free agent market won't fill all those holes. Atlanta (Joey Devine, Tommy Hanson, Jordan Schafer?), the White Sox (John Danks and Gio Gonzalez?), Texas (Salty would be an interesting target), the Pirates (Snell and Gorzelanny have been rumored to be available for a bat), Minnesota (Garza, a few other nice young pitching prospects), San Francisco, San Diego, and perhaps even the Yankees could all give us a good return. I think we should be able to pick up a solid reliever for Freel and/or Hatteberg as well, and given the Cabrera/Garland trade, perhaps even a decent starter for Gonzalez. We have tons of trading chips, and though Krivsky isn't the optimal guy that I'd entrust with them, we could very easily be the favorite in the NL Central come next season with just a couple of moves.
by Geki on
Nov 23, 2007 3:10 PM EST
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Back End First
The contract makes me a bit nervous, but this is the most direct route to improve pitching, especially the bullpen. The middle relievers available do not impress. I also think there are options for SP, with Harang, Arroyo and Bailey as the cornerstones. I see Belisle getting a shot as the 4th guy, unless they trade for an Arroyo-esque middle of the rotation guy.
by jamesp50014 on
Nov 23, 2007 3:40 PM EST
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I'd like to see
I might not do any major trades unless it was to move Griffey for a catcher. I don't think the Reds have the depth after 2008 to allow them to trade any of their young players.
by Blue on
Nov 23, 2007 3:44 PM EST
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Yea
- It shows they're serious. I think it also shows that Fay's $75M budget WAG was just that - a guess, and a poor one at that.
- It's overspending, but as opposed to overspending for mediocrity, it's overspending for someone that's pretty good.
- I know it isn't "Moneyball" to throw that kind of money at a closer, but so what? It's not my money.
- As noted upthread, if the plan is to buy bullpen arms and trade for starters, might as well buy the best bullpen arm available. But as also noted, now they have to follow through and put together a decent package for a good #2 type pitcher. Unfortunately, that may mean "Goodbye Joey and Josh", which I don't like; however, you have to give up quality to get it.
- It's a risk (any LTC to a pitcher is), but I'd much rather give 4 years to an established good arm than to someone with one or 2 good years. Or 2 years to a 40 year old LOOGY again and again and again.
by sidnancy on
Nov 23, 2007 4:30 PM EST
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Whoa!
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 23, 2007 4:55 PM EST
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So, I'm scrolling through the posts...
Well played Alan. Very nice.
by sledridge on
Nov 23, 2007 9:27 PM EST
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Damn - I can live w/4yrs.
Now if we can just move Jr. before his leg or arm actually falls off of his body....
And next on the list is a decent #3 0r #4 level pitcher for the rotation...The 2008 Reds could be a contender. Interesting!
by Madville on
Nov 23, 2007 5:08 PM EST
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im with most of the people here
by boobs on
Nov 23, 2007 5:18 PM EST
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It's definitely NOT savvy
by cesarhernandez on
Nov 23, 2007 5:24 PM EST
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difference
Cordero is overpaid, but he fills a gaping hole in next year's team.
by bobestes on
Nov 23, 2007 5:42 PM EST
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We did what?
The Reds, seriously? I'm kinda shocked right now.
by Ash on
Nov 23, 2007 5:35 PM EST
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same feeling
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 23, 2007 6:00 PM EST
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I held my forehead
Now about that first base problem... :)
by Officer Dibble on
Nov 23, 2007 5:35 PM EST
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Holy crap
by BubbaFan on
Nov 23, 2007 5:46 PM EST
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Did you hear that?
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 23, 2007 6:14 PM EST
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heck yeah
by shortstopv2 on
Nov 24, 2007 3:44 AM EST
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I couldn't post on Nuxhall's diary
by justin0070000 on
Nov 23, 2007 6:04 PM EST
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The post is probably just too old
by BubbaFan on
Nov 23, 2007 6:10 PM EST
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JD,
by justin0070000 on
Nov 23, 2007 6:27 PM EST
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Done
by JD Arney on
Nov 23, 2007 10:41 PM EST
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wow that post was poorly written
by justin0070000 on
Nov 24, 2007 1:23 AM EST
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Wow.
The objective analytical part of me hates throwing that kind of money over that many years to a guy who's going to throw less than 80 innings a season. Bullpen arms are not difficult to find, and I think we have one (Burton) who could fill the closer role very well for the next 6 years.
On the other hand, the fan in me is thinking; what the hell? If you're going to overpay, at least overpay the best guy available who fills a glaring need on your team. The offense is already there. If Homer has a good season behind Harang and Arroyo, you have the makings of a nice rotation. Now, you have Cordero-Burton-Weathers at the back end of the bullpen. Put that in the worst division in baseball, and....
by BLee2525 on
Nov 23, 2007 6:47 PM EST
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Down goes LSU! Down goes LSU!
- West Virginia loses to UConn or Pitt
- Winner of Kansas-Missouri loses to (likely) Oklahoma in Big 12 title game.
by cesarhernandez on
Nov 23, 2007 7:24 PM EST
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Kansas, #1 team in the nation.
by James Quinn on
Nov 23, 2007 8:09 PM EST
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$46M is a lot of money,
To me this looks not to be an obvious mistake immediately, which qualifies it as one of Krivsky's better decisions.
I wonder if a salary dump will have to come now? Or did Krivsky get an OK to increase the roster budget?
by James Quinn on
Nov 23, 2007 8:08 PM EST
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Other things that could be done with $46 million
- Sign Adam Dunn to a 3-year contract extension.
- Pay for one and a half seasons of A-Rod.
- Pay for two seasons of Johan Santana.
- Pay for six seasons of Eric Milton.
- Buy 46 million McDonald's hamburgers.
by Paul Householder on
Nov 23, 2007 8:15 PM EST
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To be clear...
by Paul Householder on
Nov 23, 2007 8:19 PM EST
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Yes
That being said, by my calculations, the Reds are on the hook for at least $45+ million for 2009 already, and that only covers Harang ($11m), Arroyo ($9.5m), Cordero ($11.5m-ish), Gonzalez ($5.4m), Freel ($4m), and Griffey (min. $4m buyout). BP will likely be moving into the $4-5m range at that point, though I think EdE is the only other major arb eligible player at that point. The good news is that there is a good amount of young talent to offset some of the cost, but even still it looks like the Reds might actually be serious about spending money for once. Either that or Dunn and Griffey are gone in 2009 and are replaced by Bruce and another cheap option.
by Slyde on
Nov 23, 2007 9:45 PM EST
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I'll add my voice
Now that we've got Cordero under control for his age 33-36 seasons I'm wondering what to expect. He had surgery on his shoulder back in 98 and lost 2001 to stress fractures in his lower back. Here's hoping he stays healthy.
Pecota lists the following as his top 5 comps. Here's how they did from age 33-36.
1. Roberto Hernandez
age IP ERA+
33 71.3 118
34 73.3 162
35 73.3 154
36 67.7 117
He pitched last year at age 42. I'd take this.
2. Eric Plunk
age IP ERA+
33 65.7 100
34 72.7 105
35 75.3 90
Age 35 was his last season. This would be bad.
3. Jason Isringhausen
age IP ERA+
33 58.7 125
34 65.3 177
That's through 2007.
4. Don Aase
age IP ERA+
33 46.7 96
34 59.3 83
35 38.0 74
Done after 35. This is the worst case scenario.
5. Jose Mesa
age IP ERA+
33 68.7 101
34 80.7 85
35 69.3 183
36 75.7 130
Pretty solid. He didn't pitch well in 2007, but we was 41.
Other notable comps include Mike Williams, Todd Jones and Arthur Rhodes.
For those of you who know what MORP is... you don't want to know what Cordero's MORP is for these years.
by Red Menace on
Nov 23, 2007 11:08 PM EST
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ooh! Is it Malue Over Replacement Pitcher?
it means....I mean, it's too complicated to define.
by andromache on
Nov 24, 2007 1:15 PM EST
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id have to go with 5
of course only until i recall parts of that super-size me movie
by shortstopv2 on
Nov 24, 2007 3:47 AM EST
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Well put
by Zach K on
Nov 24, 2007 12:42 PM EST
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Um, Zach?
Assuming that Cordero turns out like Izzy, if they had Santana and Harang as a 1-2 punch in heir rotation, they would beat the ass out of the Yank Sox in next year's World Serious.
Pardon me while I drool over he possibility of adding Santana to the offensive potential of our team.
One thing's for sure...he wouldn't be missing Morneau for long.
by Officer Dibble on
Nov 24, 2007 3:30 PM EST
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I'm on that boat with you, Paul
Just proves we are the smarter fans.
by sledridge on
Nov 23, 2007 9:30 PM EST
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i think
Negotiating with Cordero would seem to say the Reds have money to spend on free agents - at least on the right ones.
"I'll let you make that assumption," Krivsky said. "When you look at the closers on the market, he'd be one of the best. But it takes two sides to get a deal done."
It just makes me think that wayne isn't on a real tight leash when it comes to spending.
by boobs on
Nov 23, 2007 9:42 PM EST
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your pal Trent
Cordero would be a fantastic addition. It would also show that all of those who have an imaginary salary cap for the Reds payroll are wrong. Bob Castellini looks like he'll spend what he needs to spend.
Why, that almost sounds like a dig at Fay...
by BubbaFan on
Nov 23, 2007 10:06 PM EST
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I like it..
It's not savvy. But it's not Mike Stanton.
by andromache on
Nov 23, 2007 9:50 PM EST
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Are you studying marketing in college?
That's catchy. You've got a knack. You should ask the Reds for a job.
by Slyde on
Nov 23, 2007 10:18 PM EST
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The Reds should give me a job.
by andromache on
Nov 24, 2007 2:17 PM EST
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low-flow showerheads
by buckeye22fox on
Nov 24, 2007 2:33 PM EST
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Yeah and go with
by Paul Householder on
Nov 24, 2007 8:04 PM EST
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Iowa pink
by TheC on
Nov 24, 2007 8:12 PM EST
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don't forget
by Slyde on
Nov 24, 2007 2:35 PM EST
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'It's not savvy. But it's not Mike Stanton.'
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 23, 2007 10:22 PM EST
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I think that is a much better slogan
It should be the 2008 slogan.
by Paul Householder on
Nov 24, 2007 8:03 PM EST
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No
by BB on
Nov 23, 2007 10:51 PM EST
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When it comes to a closer BB, it is
by Madville on
Nov 24, 2007 2:55 PM EST
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More
by BB on
Nov 23, 2007 10:58 PM EST
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If this is the "big offseason move"
- Too much money for a slightly above average pitcher who is streaky as well
- It takes more than 2 good pitchers in a bullpen{Burton and FC} to have even an average bullpen
by Zach K on
Nov 24, 2007 12:16 AM EST
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its not about money...
The Cubs might non-tender Mark Prior, in which case I would like to sign him as a starter, but there's really not much out there.
by Blue on
Nov 24, 2007 12:38 AM EST
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Why
I would think that he's pretty attractive, if healthy.
by Officer Dibble on
Nov 24, 2007 3:32 PM EST
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"noise from Colon"
by buckeye22fox on
Nov 24, 2007 3:38 PM EST
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Interesting ringtone concept
by Madville on
Nov 24, 2007 4:01 PM EST
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Super Colon Blow
by BubbaFan on
Nov 24, 2007 6:22 PM EST
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Ring
by WestChesterReds on
Nov 24, 2007 12:31 AM EST
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I don't like this signing
by justin0070000 on
Nov 24, 2007 1:34 AM EST
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Corredero
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 1:40 AM EST
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jet lag
by justin0070000 on
Nov 24, 2007 2:02 AM EST
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I see what you're saying....
Of course, save percentage is a stupid stat anyway. Joe Borowski's save pct. last year was 85%. Jared Burton's was 0%. One of these guys was an excellent reliever last season, one was a very, very shitty reliever last season.
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 10:35 AM EST
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Not Needed......
by tonywf on
Nov 24, 2007 1:51 AM EST
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i concur
by justin0070000 on
Nov 24, 2007 2:03 AM EST
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We got Francisco Corrdeoreioroorio
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 24, 2007 2:17 AM EST
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up late?
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 2:21 AM EST
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After dark
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 24, 2007 2:23 AM EST
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true
check out the usc-miami game on espn... 20 seconds left
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 2:27 AM EST
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At home for the holiday
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 24, 2007 2:30 AM EST
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you missed a disappointing ending
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 2:33 AM EST
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vintage
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 11:34 AM EST
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I had mono once
by sidnancy on
Nov 26, 2007 5:12 PM EST
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That's a killer issue.
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 26, 2007 4:53 PM EST
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goddamn jet lag
by justin0070000 on
Nov 24, 2007 3:00 AM EST
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What's out there?
Getting a couple of relief pitchers for cheap gives us whoever happen to be the 2008 equivalents of Mike Stanton and Rheal Cormier.
by LooseCannon on
Nov 24, 2007 4:20 AM EST
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there is good inexpensive relief help
by justin0070000 on
Nov 24, 2007 5:06 AM EST
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What about 2008?
by LooseCannon on
Nov 24, 2007 6:13 AM EST
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Good Question....
Don't get me wrong. It's not a terrible acquisition to the extent that Cordero is at least good (as aforementioned, at least we didn't go the route of Tom Hicks and give Chan Ho Park a $65-plus million contract [yet]), but we do not have the resources to spend money like the Yankees or the Cubs last offseason. It is best to maximize the money that you spend on what you need the most.
by tonywf on
Nov 24, 2007 5:14 PM EST
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See above
- Weathers is still here. Cordero is replacing Stanton and co. in the 7th, not Weathers.
- Save percentage is a stupid stat.
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 10:36 AM EST
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Cordero replacing....
by tonywf on
Nov 24, 2007 5:19 PM EST
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hes not replacing weathers
qed
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 5:45 PM EST
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Comparing Pitchers' Innings.....
by tonywf on
Nov 25, 2007 1:14 AM EST
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Leverage
by ken on
Nov 25, 2007 11:44 AM EST
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and now we have someone
by Daedalus on
Nov 25, 2007 12:29 PM EST
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More bright side
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 24, 2007 2:26 AM EST
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good job!!!
by shortstopv2 on
Nov 24, 2007 3:40 AM EST
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good point
by Caleb on
Nov 24, 2007 8:48 AM EST
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Let's hope Dusty gets this message
by Red Menace on
Nov 24, 2007 12:33 PM EST
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I have to comment on your Tila Tequila thing
by Zach K on
Nov 24, 2007 12:39 PM EST
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It's about time someone did
by Red Menace on
Nov 24, 2007 3:42 PM EST
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Would you?
by Zach K on
Nov 24, 2007 6:42 PM EST
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Good Signing
I like what this signing does for the 7th and 8th innings. I've said this before, but I like Weathers holding leads in the 8th inning. It's not right that your best setup guy is held back for a lead or an extra-inning tie game. How many more leads would the Reds have taken into the 9th last year if it was Weathers in the 8th, Burton in the 7th? I think this is the most important question to ask. Let's say it's 20 more leads. If Cordero converts 85% of those leads into saves, that's around 17 more wins. And it's not like the 3 blown saves are automatic losses, either. This shows the true value of having Cordero at the end.
All around, good signing. Now I'd like to see Griffey traded and Bruce in RF on opening day. What are the chances that the A's or the M's will pay half Griffey's salary for 2 years and turn him into a DH? If that happens, Griffey passes Sosa and Mays for sure, which is where he deserves to be.
by jamesp50014 on
Nov 24, 2007 5:25 AM EST
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woohoo!!!!!
by Daedalus on
Nov 24, 2007 7:17 AM EST
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Dan Szymborski Says
by LooseCannon on
Nov 24, 2007 10:49 AM EST
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also from the oracle
I quote this not because I hold Szymborski as an unimpeachable authority, but because I think this opinion is shared by many, including Dusty's supporters. It's just a really weird thing to have to say about a big-name expensive manager.
by Red Menace on
Nov 25, 2007 2:58 AM EST
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Just so I'm clear, who is..
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 25, 2007 9:56 AM EST
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Huh
- Seems a bit rich. I wonder if something like Norris Hopper + Juan Francisco could've pried Lidge away from the Astros.
- That being said, I'd rather overpay in areas where the team has shown that it's deficient in roster construction. Having good cost-controlled regulars at several positions - which Wayne will hopefully continue to unearth in his dumpster diving - gives you the luxury of overspending in other areas. Also, I'd rather overpay for quality, which Cordero is. Great K/9 (4th in MLB for relievers) and K/BB (7th) numbers, and not many HR (0.6/9 IP) even though he pitched in Texas for most of his career.
- As bad as the bullpen was this year, it might have actually gotten worse if we had stood pat. Weathers really pulled '07 out of his ass (reaching his 75th percentile PECOTA projection), partially because he gave up an absurdly low number of HRs despite allowing more flyballs. Burton was effective but lucky that his lack of control (about a walk every other inning) didn't hurt him more. You hope for rebounds from Coffey, Stanton, and Bray, but you don't know.
- I'm past the point of being shocked by the $$. MLB is pulling in money hand over fist - $6 bb in revenue last year - so the baseline from even a couple of years ago is no longer relevant.
- I do worry about the number of years. BJ Ryan was outstanding in '06 but pitched 4 innings last year. Cordero has had health issues in the past, although they were a few years ago. I hope Kremchek did his bestest poking here.
- I'm glad we didn't sacrifice a first round pick here. The Brewers must feel jilted in losing two type-A's but getting no first round picks in return.
by ken on
Nov 24, 2007 10:56 AM EST
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Sure
With Cordero, you don't have those questions.
This was about overpaying for a known commodity.
by bobestes on
Nov 24, 2007 11:50 AM EST
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Why not have both?
With Lidge you're at least limiting your risk to one year. But yeah, I'd rather have Cordero if contracts weren't an issue.
by ken on
Nov 25, 2007 11:49 AM EST
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The Reds must think
by Man Mountain on
Nov 24, 2007 11:27 AM EST
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They may or may not be real close...
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 24, 2007 11:33 AM EST
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Does that mean they've started being polite
by Slyde on
Nov 24, 2007 11:38 AM EST
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Rosenthal's rationale
by pw on
Nov 24, 2007 12:25 PM EST
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Junya
A couple days ago i wondered if AK would have attended the visitation if he was still in the organization, being a "local" and all. Then I read Sean Casey was in attendance, which didnt surprise me one bit. Sean Casey is all class.
by fletch on
Nov 24, 2007 12:35 PM EST
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my main concern with the money
by Slyde on
Nov 24, 2007 1:49 PM EST
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Real quick and dirty...
2008
(9) Milton
2.65 Arroyo
2.5 Harang
11.5 Cordero
2.5 Dunn
3 Phillips
1.5 Gonzalez
1 Belisle
1 Freel
1 Stanton
----------
$17.65mil Payroll Increase
2009
(12.5) Griffey
(13) Dunn
(3) Stanton
(3) Weathers
(2) Hatteberg
4.25 Harang
3 Arroyo
2 Encarnacion
2 Phillips
1 Freel
1 Gonzalez
1 Belisle
-------------
$19.25mil payroll DECREASE
I think this leaves you with 2 great options in terms of payroll flexibility at the end of 2008.
Option 1: If Bailey and/or Cueto develop as you hope, you're set as far as the rotation goes. Sign Dunn to an extension, and look to make a run for '09-'11 with your roster as currently constituted. That team will get rather expensive by 2011 (not Yankee expensive), but you have a hell of a nucleus that's still young.
Option 2: if Bailey and/or Cueto can't hack it, let Dunn walk, use that $19mil to go after a Santana, Sabathia, Lackey or Penny, bring up Stubbs to play between Hamilton and Bruce, and see if you can make a run that way.
Either way, with the contracts coming off the books next season, and the glut of young talent still a few years away from arbitration, this team has a lot of payroll flexibility after next season. I was actually real worried about the same thing before I did the math.
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 2:58 PM EST
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Nice post
by Paul Householder on
Nov 24, 2007 8:08 PM EST
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agreed
The more I think about it though, the more I think this means Dunn is gone after 2008, especially if Hamilton manages to stay healthy this year. Of course, if Hamilton is healthy and Bruce produces like he's expected, I probably won't have a problem with Dunn moving on.
by Slyde on
Nov 24, 2007 10:00 PM EST
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Haven't seen JMcClain around
by ken on
Nov 25, 2007 11:29 AM EST
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Forgot 2 guys...
(4.2) Kyle Lohse
(2.25) Rheal Cormier
Bringing the 2008 Payroll Increase to $11.2 million. This does not effect my numbers for 2009.
by BLee2525 on
Nov 25, 2007 12:11 PM EST
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Cordero signing
*I agree with the weakening a division rival theory. That is a secondary effect of the signing, and it is a bonus.
*King Booker just signed with TNA Impact, and has left WWE. My boys, wrestling junkies, are intrigued. I say that b/c neither of them has a clue who Cordero is. I hope Casetellini remembers to market the product to families in '08, i am concerned on what impact a dwindling fan base has in the next decade or two.
*I have gotten to the point where i almost dont care what salaries are in baseball. it truly has become ludicrous, and i firmly support the free market determining compensation. i'd rather have Cordero in the pen than not....so i'll back the signing.
*Power arms should be the focus moving forward, no more soft tossing RHP's(SAARLOSS!). Anyone know what Cordero's entrance from the pen music is? I nominate "Lose Yourself" by Eminem.
by fletch on
Nov 24, 2007 12:32 PM EST
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I'm in love with a stripper
by buckeye22fox on
Nov 24, 2007 12:45 PM EST
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Thank God
by bobestes on
Nov 24, 2007 2:49 PM EST
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Stay away from pessimism, do your part
Who cares if Señor Krivsky spends lots of money? Buy lots and lots of fresh mid-western produce. You won't be as fat eating fruits and vegetables and Castellini could spend more for our enjoyment on the ball field.
Start eating healthy fat bloggers, it helps the Reds!
by buckeye22fox on
Nov 24, 2007 3:29 PM EST
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yes, i agree with you
by Daedalus on
Nov 24, 2007 5:33 PM EST
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Heer ! Heer !
by Madville on
Nov 24, 2007 6:59 PM EST
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yep
by Slyde on
Nov 24, 2007 10:02 PM EST
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Hear hear!
by Red Menace on
Nov 25, 2007 2:30 AM EST
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well, it's gotten really old
by Daedalus on
Nov 25, 2007 12:31 PM EST
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you and I must not read the same sites
What I don't get is that there isn't a lot of "complaining" in this thread. I don't know what you expect from people, but I happen to like the fact that there are people that want to examine a move for both its positive and negative points. Every move, even the smartest one, has a downside. Sometimes the best way to evaluate a move is by judging based on its downside, especially when a large amount of money is being spent. If you can look at a move and say that the risk was worth the potential reward, then you know it was a good move. But if you look at for only the positives that it brings, well then it's just a move that may or may not be good.
by Slyde on
Nov 25, 2007 1:44 PM EST
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I'll vouch for that
by BubbaFan on
Nov 25, 2007 3:52 PM EST
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Complaining
The contract is not a good one. But if that's what it takes to land a free agent these days, then fine.
by Brian B on
Nov 25, 2007 9:37 PM EST
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I, for one am sick and tired
by Madville on
Nov 26, 2007 5:17 AM EST
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I hate all the irony at Red Reporter.
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 26, 2007 8:14 AM EST
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Let me complain a bit.
He did post a very nice 1.11 WHIP last season, but still, regardless of how many saves the guy has, isn't that 1.35 a bit worrisome?
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 10:26 AM EST
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That's a reasonable question
I would guess that he probably won't put up a sub-3.00 ERA next year mainly because he seemed to have a big spike in strikeouts while concurrently dropping his walks. Perhaps he suddenly gained control of his pitches like never before, but I think it's more likely that it's an anomaly and he'd drop back to his previous trends in those categories, especially when you see that those trends were quite clear:


I'd guess that he'll be in the 3-3.5 range for ERA. He might get a slight boost from a minor improvement on defense, but that might be counteracted by giving up an extra home run or two.
by Slyde on
Nov 26, 2007 11:05 AM EST
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this is fun
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 26, 2007 11:34 AM EST
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Mmmm.
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 1:19 PM EST
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FWIW...
He gave up 31 earned runs in 2006. 14 of those runs were given up before the first of May.
If he hadn't had such a poor start, he might not have temporarily lost his job and he might have put up back-to-back 40+ save/<3.00 ERA seasons.
And the Reds might not have been able to afford him this off-season.
But then- if a frog had wings he wouldn't bust his ass a-hoppin'.
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 27, 2007 11:33 AM EST
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there's not a lot of complaining about this move
by Daedalus on
Nov 26, 2007 2:42 PM EST
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Juan Castro
by Man Mountain on
Nov 24, 2007 5:59 PM EST
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Fay
CEO Bob Castellini said: "We have not signed a contract with Cordero."
Have you agreed to a contract in principle?
"We have not signed a contract with Cordero?" Castellini said.
Nothing like a pinch of John fay punctuation to add some ambiguity to the story. I'm Ron Burgundy?
by Brian B on
Nov 24, 2007 11:12 PM EST
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Jedi mind tricks
by Slyde on
Nov 25, 2007 10:37 AM EST
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Anybody else watching this?
I guess that's what happens to your program when you hire an old Toledo coach.
Worked for LSU.
About to work for Mizzou.
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 11:26 PM EST
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well, here we go...
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 11:42 PM EST
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91 yards, 17 seconds, 0 timeouts
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 11:44 PM EST
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Ballgame
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 11:45 PM EST
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wait
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 11:45 PM EST
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that was a bad onside kick
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 11:46 PM EST
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I don't think
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 11:47 PM EST
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you can
by boobs on
Nov 24, 2007 11:49 PM EST
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I guess...
by BLee2525 on
Nov 24, 2007 11:51 PM EST
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just think about the signing
by Caleb on
Nov 25, 2007 11:28 AM EST
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Wow OSU might get to the title game
I feel bad for Missouri they have to play a very tough Oklahoma team next week so while this Kansas win is nice it means almost nothing.
Top 3 teams best out of conference wins and conference wins
West Virgina- Mississippi State/#20 UCONN
Missouri-at Illinois/#2 Kansas
Ohio State- at Washington/#19 Michigan
Clearly Ohio State has the slightly weaker schedule but West Virgina really isn't that far behind.
If OSU plays either of these teams it will be a really bad match up for them, though making a national championship back to back years is impressive no matter how you got there.
UC looks to be in the Papa Johns bowl...yuk. The Big East deserves better bowl games. Seriously in any other BCS conference the 3rd place team wouldn't be playing Southern Mississippi!
by Zach K on
Nov 25, 2007 12:06 PM EST
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So when can the reds sign
For the record, I don't like the move because I think the reds are over paying him, however; I like to see the effort to make this team better kudos to Bob for that.
by Zach K on
Nov 25, 2007 4:09 PM EST
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I don't like this move
by babyfacedassasin on
Nov 25, 2007 5:14 PM EST
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i hadnt heard about this all weekend
im not one to condone throwing huge money at a closer, but in this case i think its ok. coco has proven to be a solid guy year-in, year-out, not a terrible injury risk, solid stats. its bad to buy a closer, but i guess if you have to buy a closer (and we certainly needed to) then at least buy the best one.
by Charlie Scrabbles on
Nov 25, 2007 8:35 PM EST
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Yeah. Coco. That girl's all right.
by Man Mountain on
Nov 26, 2007 10:31 AM EST
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I'm going on record as not liking the nickname
...of course the only thing that I can think of right now is calling him "Frankie" and having big "Frankie Say Relax" signs when he comes on in the ninth.
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 26, 2007 11:47 AM EST
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Cool. Just the other day...

by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 26, 2007 4:52 PM EST
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40-man roster
by Brian B on
Nov 25, 2007 11:17 PM EST
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I don't think it's official yet
That may be what the Yankees are doing. Jorge Posada, Mariano Rivera, and Alex Rodriguez are as good as signed, but there's been no official announcement, and they're not on the roster yet. A lot of people are wondering what the holdup is. Maybe they just don't want to make any more roster moves until after the Rule 5 draft.
by BubbaFan on
Nov 26, 2007 12:08 AM EST
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Hopefully
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 9:39 AM EST
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i just saw this
"There's no deal," Krivsky said. "We've had conversations, I can tell you that. There's nothing to announce. That's where it stands."
But Brewers GM Doug Melvin said that agent Bean Stringfellow informed him on Thursday that Cordero had chosen Cincinnati. Milwaukee offered $42 million over four years with a $13 million option for a fifth year, but apparently came up short.
it appears that bean's real name is thornton. thornton stringfellow.
by boobs on
Nov 26, 2007 2:00 AM EST
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F. Cor
by Lakeman on
Nov 26, 2007 12:12 PM EST
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In a way
by Lakeman on
Nov 26, 2007 1:07 PM EST
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Consider this a complaint then.
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 1:15 PM EST
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I hate all the complaining at Red Reporter.
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 26, 2007 4:47 PM EST
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I hate intolerance.
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 5:43 PM EST
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I guess
by Lakeman on
Nov 26, 2007 1:08 PM EST
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I like Fran-Co
by Madville on
Nov 26, 2007 6:39 PM EST
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I am in no hurry...
Certain individuals, of course, require no nickname (e.g., Coutlangus, Dick Pole, etc.).
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 7:17 PM EST
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OK, but what to do until spring training?
by Madville on
Nov 26, 2007 7:35 PM EST
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Call him whatever you want
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 8:19 PM EST
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out like white after labor day
by boobs on
Nov 27, 2007 3:02 PM EST
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That's racist.
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 27, 2007 3:06 PM EST
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And Fat Tuesday?
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 27, 2007 3:12 PM EST
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And Good Friday
by Slyde on
Nov 27, 2007 3:14 PM EST
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That reminds me..
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 27, 2007 3:15 PM EST
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can i bring my friends?
by boobs on
Nov 27, 2007 3:21 PM EST
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I had no idea that Fuzzy Koala
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 27, 2007 3:55 PM EST
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i never did catch on as to why
by Charlie Scrabbles on
Nov 26, 2007 8:48 PM EST
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seabass
by Red Menace on
Nov 26, 2007 8:51 PM EST
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here's one
by Red Menace on
Nov 26, 2007 8:54 PM EST
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wow
and he does kinda look like a fish. good thing he's a millionaire.
by Charlie Scrabbles on
Nov 26, 2007 9:08 PM EST
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And your new nickname shall be
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 1:13 PM EST
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Are you the Real Paul Householder?
by chandrathan on
Nov 26, 2007 7:57 PM EST
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I don't get it.
by Paul Householder on
Nov 26, 2007 10:30 PM EST
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Yeah. Coco. That girl's all right.
by Man Mountain on
Nov 26, 2007 7:26 PM EST
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Yeah... Coco. That chimp's alright.
by BobbyO on
Nov 27, 2007 3:38 PM EST
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John Fay was on XMradio
by justin0070000 on
Nov 26, 2007 3:35 PM EST
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you may recall facts pretty well
So it will remain your dream job.
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 27, 2007 2:55 PM EST
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Why's everybuddy aways cappining
by Madville on
Nov 27, 2007 3:56 PM EST
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Fay is a farmer?
by Daedalus on
Nov 27, 2007 4:03 PM EST
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tobacco, if he's
by andromache on
Nov 27, 2007 6:39 PM EST
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Cordero
Articles on all these things at www.mlbfleecefactor.com.
Pretty funny site too. Love the Glavine/Maddux video there have on there.
by ET90210 on
Nov 26, 2007 3:57 PM EST
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what about Dero Isaacs?
Any heavy hitter fans in the house?
by boobs on
Nov 26, 2007 6:47 PM EST
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A lil' mo FWIW...
13 games, 13.1 innings, 1 win, 10 saves, 0 ER, 0.94 WHIP and .136 BAA
But then, this was all amassed prior to the Pirates going and getting one of those new-fangled cybog-a-metrics and OBP lovin' general managers.
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 27, 2007 11:55 AM EST
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yeah, but...
by jacob brumfield on
Nov 27, 2007 2:58 PM EST
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Tom Verducci at SI had this to say about the Reds:
The 2007 Reds had the worst bullpen in the NL (5.13 ERA). If they can improve the bullpen the way the 2007 Indians did, the 2008 Reds -- especially if young hitters Jay Bruce and Joey Votto contribute -- could be a playoff team."
Verducci's piece prognosticates who might emerge from the doldrums of the league to become playoff contenders next year. He lists the Reds as the prime candidate to do just that.
I dont really have too much to add, I just thought it was pretty exciting to hear that we are not being written off by the national media even before the winter meetings roll 'round.
Here's the link to the whole article:
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/writers/tom_verducci/11/27/inside.baseball/index.html
by Charlie Scrabbles on
Nov 27, 2007 7:52 PM EST
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I don't think..
Sometimes I think that these "capsules" are written with the sole purpose of packing as much information (relevant or otherwise) into a few sentences: "Joey Votto and Jay Bruce. There, I said it. See, I know who's in the non-contending teams' farm systems. I'm a baseball writer. Yep."
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 27, 2007 7:59 PM EST
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That is pretty neat
by BubbaFan on
Nov 27, 2007 8:02 PM EST
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just wait til we sign jenny finch
by boobs on
Nov 27, 2007 8:05 PM EST
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I'd take her over Saarloos or Milton
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 27, 2007 8:14 PM EST
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Shearn?
by BubbaFan on
Nov 27, 2007 8:17 PM EST
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You and your... knowledge
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 27, 2007 9:00 PM EST
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And Smell wise
by chandrathan on
Nov 27, 2007 9:10 PM EST
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LOL
But if the Reds did see him as their #5 starter, I don't think they'd have exposed him to waivers in the first place.
by BubbaFan on
Nov 27, 2007 9:14 PM EST
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That would be in the butt, Bob.
by Fat Vegas Alan on
Nov 27, 2007 8:17 PM EST
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Jenny has a kid named 'Ace'
- Birthday: September 3, 1980
- Family:
Children: Ace (born May 2006)
Parents: Doug and Bev
Siblings: Shane (married to Danielle, nephew Reshly), Landon (married to Rachel, nephews Asher & Athen)
Dog: Prada (Yorkshire terrier)
Favorite writer: Man mountain
by Madville on
Nov 28, 2007 12:30 AM EST
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Warm fuzzies!
by Gray on
Nov 28, 2007 12:32 PM EST
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ah, well
i think people flip through here several times a day, see no one has had anything witty to say, and leave, so it looks like no ones here, but they really are.
and i guess this would be a good opportunity, seeing as there isn't much else to say about this, to thank whoever suggested the national way back when. i was going to hop on over to croatia a few weeks ago to see them, but realized that maybe four times in one year was enough. (on my ears right now.)
by Daedalus on
Nov 28, 2007 3:13 PM EST
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Someone always wants to rain on the parade
by Brendanukkah on
Nov 28, 2007 2:47 PM EST
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you are
by Man Mountain on
Nov 28, 2007 6:23 PM EST
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Monica Bellucci
(2001).
Personal
* Birthday: September 3, 1964
* Family:
Spouse: Red Menace
Children: Whaan (born May 2006)
Parents: Dimitri and Shawna
Siblings: Igor (married to Olga, nephew Sluggo), Carlito (married to Rachel, dogs Peter and Asher
Puma: Prada (Free range carnivore)
Favorite writer: Man mountain
Favorite Red: Edwin immaculateincareration
by Madville on
Nov 28, 2007 4:39 PM EST
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She was a fine starter wife
by Red Menace on
Nov 28, 2007 6:44 PM EST
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Reds Complete the deal today.....
And this makes the deal even better....
Cincinnati designated outfielder Buck Coats for assignment to make room on their 40-man roster.
by nlt-andrew68 on
Nov 28, 2007 5:14 PM EST
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