The announcers and anaylsts all say the same thing:  he does K a lot, but everyone knows around every 14 or 15 ABs Dunn will connect on one.  You have to imagine his most recent slump is a by product of Griffey not being in the lineup.  When Griffey is out Dunner sees even less quality pitches, especially late in the game.  Last night he was protected by Brandon Phillips.  What team would not rather face Phillips than Dunn?  Dunn isn't going to get anything to hit hard in that situation.  As far as the HRs being solo shots, who cares?  It is not his fault people in front of him are not getting on base.  

Just back off of him a bit Mikey.  Let him  win us a playoff berth, and if he can't get that for us, then you can bash him or whatever, but give him the respect he deserves.  He has done some amazing things within the organization records.  3 straight years of 40 Homers (Only been done one other time) is already puching close to the all time Reds-Homers List (already surpassed Barry Larkin), lets just leave the man alone.

He will be over 40 home runs and 100 RBI again. That in and of itself is Reds history. He walks alot. And anytime any player walks he is setting the table for someone else. The guy plays every day.

His big down sides to me are the high strike outs (and a great hitter will make an out 70% of the time anyway)and his occasional lack of hustle on defense. As my grand pappy always said you have to take the rough with the smooth. Dunn stays on my team.

(all in good fun, of course)

I think Michael is Dunn just trying to have some fun.  Anyone else second this theory?

-No argument.  He's a bad defender.

-Strikeouts are irrelevant to run production.  Until you can produce proof that there is a relationship between the two, Dunn's strikeout numbers have no bearing on his value to the team.

-A low batting average is only a problem when it causes a low OBP.  As this is not the case with Dunn, low BA's have no bearing on his value to the team.

-His career BA with RISP weights his early struggles the same as his recent successes.  The fact that he hit .170 with RISP in 2003 tells me nothing about his ability to hit in those situations now.  His OBP and SLG with RISP have both increased over his numbers in other situations over the last 2 years.  That's more relevant.

-He's 6 for 6 in stolen bases this year.  As slyde pointed out, he's led the team in scoring from first on non-HRs the last few years.  But wait, you go by what you see, right?

There's your answers to the bulleted points.  I'll break it up a little and answer the rest of your inane rants in another post.

Dunn, from 2003-2005, drove in an average of 1.6 runs with each of his HR's.  Applying that to the additional 15 HR's over your theoretical player, his HR's account for an additional 24 runs.  Dunn, from 2003-2005, scored on 35% of his non-HR times on base.  Apply that to the additional walk total, and he scores 8 additional runs as a result of his walks.  Dunn, therefore, is worth 32 runs over that player.

The closest player I could find to your theoretical was, ironically, Austin Kearns (22HR, 76BB).  Kearns has accounted for 138 runs (81R+79RBI-22HR).  Dunn's additional 32 runs make him ~30% more valuable than Kearns.  I'd say that's worth it.

One more post, and this is the fun one...

All stats must come with a context.  Before you go blindly posting stats and saying that Dunn sucks as a result, perhaps you should do some research as to what a good number is.

Take, for example, your assertion that because 57% of Dunn's HR's are solo shots, the guy obviously can't hit with runners on base.  Surely, a good number for that would be 35-40%, right?  And a great clutch hitter like Pujols, Ortiz or Jeter, they have to hit 75% of their HR's with men on base to have built their great clutch reputations.

Well, let's check.  These numbers are from 2003-2005 (I looked at 2006 numbers, but didn't feel like doing twice the calculation.  The 2006 numbers do not differ greatly from the 2003-2005 numbers).

Pujols - 54% solo HR's
Dunn - 57% solo HR's
Ortiz - 60% solo HR's
Jeter - 77% solo HR's

So, there you go, Michael.  I've evaluated it from your perspective, and came to the same conclusions I did before.  Now, why don't you evaluate him from my perspective and see what you come up with.  You can start by answering those multiple choice questions I gave you a few weeks ago.

As you know, this is a lie.  Dunn does have the single-season record, but that was 3 years ago.  His strikeouts are up this year, but it will only be his 2nd year among the top 30 all-time.  

hits sub-.250 every year

As you know, this doesn't matter; his lifetime OBP is over .380.

has a lifetime BA with RISP which is ~.215

As you know, this also doesn't matter; over time, his (like everyone's) BA with RISP will gravitate towards his overall BA.  But you also know this doesn't matter because he won't get as many good pitches in those situations; mistakes to Dunn cost 2 runs instead of 1.

doesn't run the bases well, doesn't steal bases

As you know, this is also a lie.  In a previous diary entry, I showed you that Dunn scores more runs, both in number and in terms of % of times on base (not via HR), than the "speedster" Ichiro.

Since you know all of these things, I can only guess that you enjoy lying.

trade him, better yet dfa the wothless slug

Step up to the plate.  Answer the questions I posed in the last few threads, and evaluate Dunn based on your responses to those.  It's the least you can do.