Red Reporter predictions

by JD Arney on Apr 3, 2006 7:39 AM EDT in News

Just to get these all down:

AL West: A's
AL Central: Indians
AL East: Blue Jays
Wild Card: Red Sox

NL West: Giants
NL East: Braves
NL Central: Cardinals
Wild Card: Brewers

World Series: Indians over Cardinals (continuing the streak of long suffering teams finally winning the big one)

Reds predictions:

The pitching won't be as good as we're hoping right now. But it'll be better than the last few years.
The offense will be pretty damn good, even with a few injuries.
Jerry Narron will make it through the season, but that'll be it.
Austin Kearns will get traded for pitching; Chris Denorfia will become a starter.
Tony Womack will play himself out of the lineup relatively quickly.

Your Reds specific predictions? (More general predictions should go here.)

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No Sleep!!

Got that ritual Christmas morning feeling in my stomach. Was that a boring game on ESPN last night or what? Over the last 24 hours I'd settled on the decision that the Prez throwing the first pitch is a good omen. I even voted third on the poll.

Then Jim Scott interviewed Silver a few minutes ago and "we suck again". Nothing like a reality check from BP to cut through that opening day emotional fog. No opening day thread or diary yet?

Go Reds!

"It can't end like this. Tell them I said something."-Poncho Villa

by sukr on Apr 3, 2006 8:04 AM EDT reply actions

Who is Silver?

I'll be catching opening day in Chicago at Northside in Bucktown (which is not on the northside, evidently).

I couldn't sleep last night either.

by Brian B on Apr 3, 2006 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions

My prediction...a busy trade deadline

The only reason I can come up with for the Reds to sign so many vets, is in hope that they play well and can be traded at the deadline. Weathers, Merker, Hammond, White, Wilson , Womack, and Aurilia are all on one-year/last year of contracts. If all are healthy and playing well at the break, Krivsky will try to package them to a contender. On their own none of these guys will land you a top prospect, but a team might part with a solid guy for help at multiple positions. Since the Reds aren't likely to contend this year, it's a low risk plan that allows players like Bergolla, Dumatrait, ect. a half season of AAA before being called up. I think Kearns might still get moved for pitching.

by matchu522 on Apr 3, 2006 12:05 PM EDT reply actions

deadline

I agree with you that I'm looking forward to dealing away some guys at the deadline, but I'm not sure if it's for the same reasons.

It may be that Krivsky's strategy is to load up on veterans in the offseason so he has people to deal for prospects during the season. I like that strategy if only because it means the Reds aren't really committing to mediocre 30-somethings instead of promising mid-20-somethings.

And JD, I'm for trading Kearns too, but does that mean we hope Kearns has a great first half? Because it's going to be hard to deal him if he finally shows signs of coming around.

by Brian B on Apr 3, 2006 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions

Kearns

If Kearns is solid, I don't think tradeing him will be a big deal because most people seem to like Denorfia and would be Ok with him in right. If Kearns has a big year I'd actually rather trade Dunn. An outfield of Griffey in Left (in a perfect world), Denorfia in Center, and Kearns in Right would still be vey good offensively and drastically improved defensively. Of course, this all predicated on a big year from Kearns and could just as easily be accomplished by moving Dunn back to 1B with Denorfia, Griff, Kearns, and Dunn batting 2-6 in the order.

by matchu522 on Apr 3, 2006 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions

Blowing off School, eh?

Menace never did post his account #, so just bill him.
Nate Silver of Baseball Prospectus. I wasn't expecting to hear him interviewed by Scott, but it was cool. He basicly said that if there's a chance our offense can carry us all the way, then we have a chance. Sounds like our odds aren't good in his eyes. He's probably right, as usuall.

Bucktown? Wow, blowing off the froth in a high-rent district. I went to Floyd's a billion years ago. That's a nice area up there.

"It can't end like this. Tell them I said something."-Poncho Villa

by sukr on Apr 3, 2006 1:15 PM EDT reply actions

skipping

As we speak I am deciding to blow off my speeding ticket trial in the Circleville traffic court. I asked for a continuance but haven't heard anything. Those bastards can bill me. You bastards can buy your own drinks. Go Reds!

by Red Menace on Apr 3, 2006 1:36 PM EDT reply actions