Reds trade for Jeff Conine (@#@#&$!!!)
No time to digest just yet, but here it is from Marc:
http://frontier.cincinnati.com/blogs/spring/
Reds trade two minor leaguers for 1B Jeff Conine. More to come.
UPDATE: The Reds sent infielder Brad Key and outfielder Javon Moran to the Phillies for Conine. Brendan Harris was designated for assignment to make room on the 40-man roster.
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More Surprised
by indy on Dec 21, 2006 3:33 PM EST reply actions
Conine
And I don't really care about Harris.
There's the right handed bat
Too bad he's not even that good against lefties anymore:
I Split G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF ROE GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS
+-+------------+----+----+-----+-----+----+----+---+---+---+----+----+---+----+---+----+----+----+-- -+----+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+
vs RHP as RH 1762 5581 5028 1410 281 27 141 757 438 23 859 39 6 69 48 152 .280 .339 .431 .770
vs LHP as RH 818 1909 1673 507 91 8 67 277 206 21 273 2 1 27 25 52 .303 .375 .487 .862
His OPS the last 2 seasons against lefties is .700 and .737.
I think I am starting to get annoyed with Krivskey
Salary
I certainly hope he is only signed through 2007, anyone got info on that?
by indy on Dec 21, 2006 3:49 PM EST reply actions
Salary info
signed deal for 2006 season worth 1.7M on 1/4/06- + he receives a salary of 1.7M in 2006- + the deal includes a Mutual Option for 2007 worth 2M- + if he reaches 450PA in 2006, the option becomes a player option- + if traded either in 2006 or 2007, he receives a 250K salary rise in salary-
I meant to add
$3.75 for Hatteberg and Conine in 2007
Thanks for the info Slyde
by indy on Dec 21, 2006 4:02 PM EST up reply actions
Why DFA Brendan Harris?
Why keep Chad Moeller?
Why do any of this?
Why, Wayne, why?
by Paul Householder on Dec 21, 2006 3:54 PM EST reply actions
Conine
He plays the game the right way (read: 65 Ks last year)
He's a great baseball guy (read: 40 years old)
He's a right handed bat (read: well, he bats right handed)
I also bat right handed.
by Paul Householder on Dec 21, 2006 4:16 PM EST up reply actions
Im a switch-hitter
Weren't there any older OF's available?
by ohiobobcat on Dec 21, 2006 3:57 PM EST reply actions
Stupid stupid stupid stupid
I just saw the crawl on ESPNEWS about this trade. My reaction was.... "NOOOOOO!" followed by me slapping my forehead.
I'm still trying to digest this, but dear god, what a horrible pickup. I don't even care about the minor-leaguers we traded, but just DFA'ing Harris? Is this a joke?
Jeff Conine will be 41 freakin years old in June. He has little power and no speed. He's doesn't walk a lot, but oh, he doesn't strike out a huge amount either. I'm sure he'll have PLENTY of productive outs. Jeez.
As for Harris, I know he isn't anything special, but I'm sure he could play first, and I think he could, given the chance, produce just as well as Conine next season as part of a first base platoon with Hatteberg. Not that I'm even advocating that scenario.
Predicted Krivksy quote: "Jeff Conine is a proven winner who will give us plenty of quality at-bats and some veteran leadership in the clubhouse."
I just checked Conine's contract: He's set to make $2 million in 07, plus $250,000 because the Phils traded him. So $2,250,000 for this stiff.
What a waste...
Actual quotes
Wayne Krivsky:
"It happened within the last couple days. Continuing to look for that quality right-handed hitter, whether it was by trade route or free agency, we just felt like this was our best alternative. I've had him on a list of players that might be acquired by trade to fill that role that we've been looking for. We just felt like after talking to all our scouts, this was the best alternative that was available to us."
Jerry Narron:
"I'm excited about it. He's a guy that we know has had an outstanding career so far. He's very talented, can do a lot of things with the bat, play multiple positions. I've admired him and respected him a long time, just by the way he goes about his business. He plays the game the right way and can bring a lot of leadership to our club."
Jeff Conine:
"It's a little bit of a surprise, a couple days before Christmas, to get the call from Pat Gillick. I didn't have a long tenure there in Philadelphia, but I know the Reds were a very competitive ballclub last year. I'm looking forward to the challenge of making them a little bit better and competing for a playoff spot."
(also found this interesting...)
"Obviously I've played a lot with Alex Gonzalez - we won a World Series together and he's probably the best shortstop I've ever played with. I'm looking forward to watching him in action again."
Plays the game the right way!
"He plays the game the right way and can bring a lot of leadership to our club."
Morron says:
Watch out, boys.
you beat me to it
Does Narron think about what he's saying, or does he have rolodex of "baseball sayings" or what? That comment doesn't MEAN anything.
"He can do a lot of things with the bat."
This should be a poll or something. Maybe someone with more "veteran presence" could list some possible meanings of that statement. Maybe someone who's good at "posting the right way" could take it from here.
Wow
Wayne Krivsky continues to build a team I just really don't like.
Amen
by cesarhernandez on Dec 21, 2006 4:10 PM EST up reply actions
Wow
He's better than Womack
Conine has always been solid (career OPS+ of 108), but his problem is that he is 40 years old. He's been declining and he's more likely to get worse than he is to get better.
I'd still rather have Craig Wilson.
DFA'ing Harris
Quaoth Paul:
by Pops Daniels on Dec 21, 2006 4:25 PM EST up reply actions
I now dub thee
Seriously.. This is turning into a long winter and I think it might be an even worse spring. Ugh!
Atleast when Dan-o pulled this crap, he only spend 500k and the players were more expendible. How many 2mil+ contracts are we going to be eating come July?
I was thinking
I can already hear the game thread calls of "grow some cones!", "he got softwood on that one", and "nice job needle-leaf."
One thing to consider...
by jambolyajones on Dec 22, 2006 12:33 PM EST up reply actions
Guy
If it's the
Does he have two middle names...
by Paul Householder on Dec 23, 2006 5:30 PM EST up reply actions
Resume
I hit several batting practice fastballs to the fence during an event @ Champion Window Field.
I never dropped an outfield flyball in high school.
I can definitely outrun LLM and Sean Casey on the basepaths, and probably Conine.
I am three months younger than Junior.
I have only sustained three right ankle injuries in my pseudo-career. The legs have almost no wear and tear.
Smoking is prohibited at GABP moving forward.
Three words. League Minimum Salary.
I'm a baseball guy. I'm a grunge guy. I'm a boobs guy.
I'm unsigned for 2007, and I'll proactively offer the Reds a unilateral team option for '08.
There you have it. Kriv, I can be reached @ 859.867.5309. I'm covered under the Bobkitten's benefits, so there's another line cost savings.
by ohiobobcat on Dec 21, 2006 4:46 PM EST reply actions
OOOH!!! me too!!!
I dont strikeout
I've never dropped a flyball... Of course, Im a shortstop...so
I can outrun those guys on the basepaths too...
Im about 2 DECADES younger than Griffey
No right ankle injuries here...
Four Words: League Minimum salary... now
Ummm... Im a baseball guy...
Umm... what he said about being unsigned...
ummm... my number on the internet?!?! I dont want to be stalked and killed!!!
Another Resume
I can throw to second base without error most of the time.
I hit several batting practice fastballs to the fence during an event @ Champion Window Field.
I never dropped an outfield flyball in high school.
I run almost as fast as LLM and Sean Casey on the basepaths, and probably Conine.
I am six years younger than Junior.
Three words. League Minimum Salary.
I'm a baseball guy. I'm a grunge guy. I'm a boobs guy.
I was available for the asking in 2007.
There you have it. Kriv. My name is Chad Moeller, and thank you so much for the contract. Never saw it coming.
Aging by the move
I'd rather see Jay Bruce, Votto and Homer Bailey in the bigs than watch a bunch of 40-year-olds trudge on the field every other game. Conine needs a walker to play right field.
And if you're going to sign a 40-year-old that "knows how to play the game" at least go after Roger Clemens.
i don't mind conine
and i was looking forward to more of this:

Don't worry...
by Paul Householder on Dec 21, 2006 9:06 PM EST up reply actions
another head-scratcher
As for Conine, he's been an above average hitter for pretty much his entire career until last year. We'll see if he has anyting left.
by KAredsfan on Dec 21, 2006 5:12 PM EST reply actions
I'm fine with it.
I would have liked Craig Wilson because he can catch if he has to, meaning a third catcher wouldn't be needed on the 25-man roster. Then again, Hatteberg can catch if the need arises, so why bother with a third catcher at all?
When the Phillies acquired Conine last year for SS Angel Chavez, I remember thinking, "nice pick up." It's not a pennant-clincher by any means, but it's a move that gives the Reds a servicable player who can help.
And there is something to be said for playing the game the right way and being good in the clubhouse. It's not at the top of the priority list, but it certainly doesn't hurt.
by Thundering Turtle on Dec 21, 2006 5:16 PM EST reply actions
I totally agree
I know we have all criticized Krivsky at some point or another but a lot of his moves have made sense (Arroyo, Phillips, David Ross, and even Cody Ross...however he didn't stay around too long).
Bottom line is that Conine does have playoff experience as well as two rings. Who else can we say that about on this team? I'll admit that Conine's best playing days may also be behind him HOWEVER what did we give up to get him?
We need to give these new "older" guys a chance to contribute to this team for an entire season and not judge them on what they done for the better part of late last season. Maybe we are looking at 2008 and maybe we would much rather have Bailey, Votto, Bruce but give this team a chance.
by Simpson on Dec 21, 2006 6:59 PM EST up reply actions
who else has playoff experience
Griffey
Aurilia
Gonzalez
Arroyo
Milton
Lohse
Crosby
Weathers
Stanton
Cormier
Last year we also had Hollandsworth, McCracken, Womack, Schoenweiss...
Not all of those guys have rings. But I don't think Conine is any better for having played with the '03 Marlins.
A better question...
Playoffs!!?! You kidding me? Playoffs!!?! I just hope we can win a game...
by Paul Householder on Dec 21, 2006 9:11 PM EST up reply actions
Correction on last blog
Since I didn't take the time to look up exactly when it was the last time the Reds reached the postseason (was it 1995???), I do realize that some of the guys on the roster now have never even smelled of a postseason appearance with the Reds but then again the Reds have really sucked over the long haul these past few years and the people we had (or have) never gave them a chance. Everyone says "we were so close in 1999" but hey, close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades and coming in second place only means you are the first loser.
Everybody cries and whines over someone getting dealt away for mediocre pitching or for the Reds actually acquiring someone they felt was the best fit for the team but really, what did we lose? For that matter, what was there on the entire 2006 team to lose if we traded everyone for Andy McGaffigan, Bob Owchinko, and a player to be named later (maybe Keefe Cato)??? IMO, the only thing we lost in that trade with Washington last season was our stupid minds for having any trust whatsoever in Jim Bowden but now it's over and who really cares?
Reading several opinions on this Jeff Conine trade, I am starting to really like it. He will give Freel some rest and he is a decent backup to Hatteburg at 1B (until Votto is ready to take over). I know he's one of everybody's favorite being an aging veteran who filled the Reds need for a backup 1B and OF but then again, oh my, he will block Denorfia won't he? Put Deno in center and rid your worries of Jr. He belongs in the AL anyway. Maybe if he can DH and not have to run so much then he might be able to pull off a healthy season.
We need to give Conine a chance. It looks like most of us are just awaiting that big free agent signing but I really don't see it happening because it's not Krivsky's tactics. I was wanting to see the Reds sign Craig Wilson but now that since that move appears to be an afterthought, we all just have to move on from here.
by Simpson on Dec 22, 2006 7:55 AM EST up reply actions
Playoffs?!
Playoff experience is irrelevant, not only bc our chances are small but bc it doesn't help. I can't find the link, but a players in their second post-season actually have a worse OPS then their first.
Wow.
I leave my desk for one freakin' hour to do some actual work, and.....wow.
Is it too late to jump on the Tigers bandwagon?
Most frightening thing I've read yet...
Any list that includes Jeff Conine as a real help needs to be burned. What a waste of resources.
by Reds123 on Dec 21, 2006 5:42 PM EST reply actions
Okay
Austin Kearns
Felipe Lopez
Rayan Wagner
Javon Moran
Bradley Key
for
Gary Majewski
Bill Bray
Jeff Conine
Daryl Thompson
Clayton and now Harris are both gone...moronic.
I wanna hit Wayne Krivsky with a baseball bat.
Let Conine do it
It's okay, everybody
Don't know about competing in the Central...
by chandrathan on Dec 21, 2006 6:06 PM EST reply actions
We should get a
No...
My grandfather may have a bad hip, but he's a veteran, and will play the game the right way.
by chandrathan on Dec 21, 2006 6:15 PM EST up reply actions
Watch out...
sorry to be tardy to the party
I never thought Harris would amount to much, but it seems like just yesterday some lunatic was defending the trade saying he was destined to become a star.
I don't f*cking get it
When is he looking to contend? If it's this year, adding Moeller, Crosby, Stanton and Conine is NOT going to get it done. If it's 2008, why are you guaranteeing 2 years to mediocre 40-year olds?
I need a beer. Anyone else?
I F-ing Get It!
So no the move is not as stupid as it appears. It's a ROLE position filled ably, I think.
As for Harris, that guy wasn't any good. He couldn't play for the Nationals and they gave him all sorts of opps. In fact, they probably have the worst outfield in baseball right now.
It seems everyone is screaming for the big acquistion for that earth moving player, but in lieu of that deal a Conine swap for absolutely nothing helps more than it hurts.
by Sean JP on Dec 21, 2006 7:07 PM EST reply actions
I agree
Brendan Harris is a career minor leaguer. He was given a chance, he didn't show anything and he was let go.
No one else was out there that would've benefited the Reds - Craig Wilson is a mini Dunn (only he doesn't hit for power, he doesn't walk and he doesn't drive people in - he had 49 RBI last season, Conine had 66); Eduardo Perez went to Seattle and his stats fell off the ledge.
by DaveC on Dec 21, 2006 7:28 PM EST up reply actions
I still like Wilson
Conine had 539 PA last year, Wilson had 395. Wilson actually drove in runners more frequently. As for the doesn't walk and doesn't have power, here Wilson's career line compared to Conine:
Wilson - .265/.354/.480
Conine - .286/.348/.445
I'd take Wilson.
Brendan Harris is a career minor leaguer. He was given a chance, he didn't show anything and he was let go.
I agree that he's a career minor leaguer, but he put up a .918 OPS at Louisville last year and then had 11 plate appearances in Cincinnati. What exactly did he do to not show anything after coming to the Reds?
Craig Wilson doesn't hit for power?
Craig Wilson in 2003 309 ABs, 18 homers
in 2004 561 ABs, 29 homers
in 2005 missed 2/3 of the season
in 2006 359 ABs, 17 homers
Also Craig Wilson's 49 RBIs came in 359 at bats
Jeff Conine's 66 RBIs came in 489 at bats
Craig Wilson had 1 RBI for every 7.32 at bats
Jeff Conine had 1 RBI for every 7.401 at bats
Oh yeah, and Conine hit 10 homers on in those 489 at bats, vs. 17 for Wilson in 359 at-bats.
by cesarhernandez on Dec 21, 2006 7:49 PM EST up reply actions
I don't
We said this about Clayton. We said this about Hollandsworth. You know the story by now; Narron makes sure that these "baseball guys" get 500 AB's while young guys with talent go to waste on the bench. We're going to go through another season out of contention, and we'll still have no idea what we have in Denorfia, and likely Votto. Conine will give us his "professional" At-bats, though (those usually result in an out).
Brendan Harris is a career minor leaguer. He was given a chance, he didn't show anything
Neither have Crosby or Moeller, and they're both 5 years older than Harris. They're still here, though, because they give us "veteran presence."
No one else was out there that would've benefited the Reds - Craig Wilson is a min Dunn
That's not an insult. This team could use a mini Dunn. Additionally, Wilson accrued his 49 RBI's in 130 less AB's than Conine got his 66. Why do you not mention this? I'm pretty sure Perez didn't forget how to hit after he got traded, either. He did a lot of pinch hitting in Seattle (averaged only 2 AB/G). That will hurt anybody's numbers.
Less about Conine...
A GM should pick a clear direction; make the team better, deeper, or younger. Krivsky seems to be making us thinner and older, for perhaps a marginal short-term improvement. Doesn't make any sense for a team that was under .500 last year.
Craig Wilson's better
Harris plays the infield, not the outfield. And his career minor league line was .295/.363/.469, which isn't terrible for a middle infielder. I don't know where you get that he got all sorts of opps from Washington. He had 99 total plate appearances for them. I'm not saying that he was starter material, but he could be a decent option as a utility infielder. But now, he's just another worthless part of that stupid trade.
It seems everyone is screaming for the big acquistion for that earth moving player, but in lieu of that deal a Conine swap for absolutely nothing helps more than it hurts.
When it comes down to it, the issue is not Conine or Moeller or Gonzalez or Hollandsworth or Clayton. It's Conine AND Moeller AND Gonzalez AND Hollandsworth. Krivsky has brought in a bunch of average players and continues to bring in a bunch of average players. What's that leave you with? An average team.
If you look at the team for next season, who do you see in the lineup that we can reasonably expect to be an above average hitter? Dunn, EdE, maybe Griffey and Ross. I'm not asking for the days of 5 runs a game, but it sure would be nice if they could score 4.5 a game, wouldn't it?
All I want is for him to show signs that he is building something, but all I see are moves to fill the numerous holes with old, mediocre players. This team isn't a playoff contender and unfortunately nothing is being done that makes it look like it will be one in 2008 either.
Teams like the Reds
by cesarhernandez on Dec 21, 2006 7:39 PM EST up reply actions
the theory isn't bad...
As Slyde pointed out his few useful skills are rapidly diminishing. Here's Conine against lefties last year:
.260 .337 .400
Here's Jose Cruz Jr, who signed for 650k and can play centerfield:
.313 .420 .522
If a 40-year old put up the same production as he did at 39 he's doing really well. Most likely he'll get worse. Like many of these Krivsky acquisitions the expected or even best case scenario isn't much, and the worst case could be horrible. And he's expensive.
Craig Wilson ain't better
Krivsky may not be doing much to bring in the kind of players you want to see, but he also isn't letting go his top minor leaguers. Our farm system was crap but it's getting better. I'm not worried about bringing in some stop gap players and not losing the talent we already have - all while trying to make us competitive.
When we start losing our top prospects for indivuals who are going to be here for one/two years and then move on - I'll get pissed at WayneK. That ain't happening and I'm not mad at him.
by DaveC on Dec 21, 2006 7:46 PM EST reply actions
I don't want to get into a big Craig Wilson thing
Just a couple things
I still think Conine is a better hitter - he had more hits than Wilson last year, more doubles, more triples, and more RBI's. Not surprisingly, Wilson had more HRs.
Until Wilson demonstrates he can come back to his 2004 form, it's hard to believe he'll amount to anything in the NL - he might be a good DH candidate in the AL someday.
by DaveC on Dec 21, 2006 7:59 PM EST up reply actions
Why?
Why are you bringing up counting stats when Wilson got 130 less AB's than Conine?
I thought you may have just glossed over AB's when you were looking at their stats. When I, and several other posters, brought up the difference in AB's, and you continue to ignore it, you're deliberately misrepresenting the stats.
more Wilson v Conine
Again and again you look at counting stats--hits, types of hits, RBI--instead of rate stats (AVG, OBP, SLG, RBI/PA) for players that don't play all the time. Last year against lefties Conine had 39 hits in 137 PA (.260). Wilson was 37 for 137 (.278). Do you see the problem in saying Conine had more hits, 39-37?
Again, I don't really want to get into Wilson. We don't know how much he wants, etc. But I have to challenge the comparisons you made between them.
It's fine
But I still don't think we should be throwing money at Wilson. I can't believe this guy is still getting mentioned after one OK year. Conine may not be the answer, but giving up nothing to get him is fine with me. Especially if you're just going to use him against LHP from time to time.
by DaveC on Dec 21, 2006 8:20 PM EST up reply actions
And Woodrow Wilson.
by Paul Householder on Dec 22, 2006 10:01 AM EST up reply actions
But aren't strikeouts really really bad?
by Paul Householder on Dec 21, 2006 9:15 PM EST up reply actions
You don't have to give up any players for Wilson
by cesarhernandez on Dec 21, 2006 7:52 PM EST up reply actions
Craig Wilson's better
In every season that he's been in the majors, Wilson has had a higher OPS+ than Conine. He's also 11 years younger than Conine and can be reasonably expected to maintain his performance, while Conine can be reasonably expected to drop in performance.
Most importantly though, Wilson kills left-handers, which really isn't the case for Conine anymore. Here are their OPS numbers for the last 3 seasons against lefties:
Wilson Conine
2004 - .912 .865
2005 - .864 .700
2006 - .843 .737
If the majority of the time that they are going to play is against lefties, then wouldn't you rather have Wilson?
And yes, Wilson was injured in 2005, and if the Reds have reason to believe he is still injured then I can see them staying away. But trading for an old Conine doesn't make me feel better.
Sorry
And I don't think that Wilson is THE solution, just a better one than Conine. I'm also just a little frustrated right now that nothing is being done to really improve this team, just piecemealing our way to mediocrity.
ummm...
The stats last year vs. LH was a push:
Wilson: RBI - 24, H - 37
Conine: RBI - 20, H - 39
And I still say you don't take a risk on an OF such as Wilson coming off of an injury plagued season in 2005 who still hasn't recovered his 'pop' from 2004.
But I'm willing to debate with you Slyde
by DaveC on Dec 21, 2006 8:14 PM EST up reply actions
Fine
150 AB - Conine
133 AB - Wilson
by DaveC on Dec 21, 2006 8:22 PM EST up reply actions
I learned my lesson
by DaveC on Dec 21, 2006 9:03 PM EST up reply actions
I love hugging boobs.
by Paul Householder on Dec 22, 2006 10:02 AM EST up reply actions
Well...
by DaveC on Dec 22, 2006 6:41 PM EST up reply actions
Two Sides of Baseball
It's a hilarious argument to say the Reds could have found a better player than Conine much cheaper. Conine is what he is--a platoon player, bench guy, will get his starts, and $2.25 million is still below the league average.
If anyone thinks a team is gonna entrust a position like this--in which the batter might have to bat cleanup 50-60 games--to an unproven minor leaguer or an Eduardo Perez type, you're just bonkers.
This is a solid pickup with virtually no cost.
Harris was pocket change, a minor league lifer, a utility guy with no value. He wasn't playing anytime soon in Cincinnati. So what the heck?
by Sean JP on Dec 21, 2006 8:00 PM EST reply actions
Only with Narron as manager.
Brendan Harris
Hmmm, well ol Wayne at one point must've thought he had SOME value because he was included in the trade with Bray, Majewski, et al.
What if Wayne had said back on the day he made that trade.... "Brendan Harris is a guy we see DFA'ing in six months."
by cesarhernandez on Dec 21, 2006 8:21 PM EST up reply actions
Wait a second
Did you actually read the article? This is what Marc said: "So he'll probably be the starting first baseman against lefties for sure, and get plenty of time in right or left as well."
As long as Dunn walks out there for his 160 games, he's not going to get "plenty" of time in left, which means right and "starting against lefties for sure".
There are quite a few lefties in the NLC; someone stated a week or two ago that maybe 1/3 of the starters we'll face are southpaws. So, he'll start about 54 games at 1st. Over the past 3 years, Conine has had an OPS vs. LHP of .771; Wilson's has been .875. Now I don't have Reds123's fancydancy spreadsheets, but 3 year's worth of AB at more than 100 points of OPS for 1/3 of the games is alot.
So he's going to get "plenty" of time in right against righties? Great. His OPS the past 3 years vs. RHP is .751; Wilson's is only...oh, wait - it's .795. Well at least he'll be replacing AB by Freel - his OPS vs. RHP is only...oh, wait - it's .737, with good defense (note to those who've been around: I stand corrected on Freel's defense) and lots of SB.
So....why was it again that we gave this guy $2.25M, when we could have paid Wilson to actually, you know, improve the team?
Oh, my fancydancy spreadsheets...
The one thing I don't get is that I'm seeing a number of people (not you) attempt to justify "It's only $2M." Grab enough replacement to near-replacement level players for that kind of money while also spending prospect resources and you'll "It's only..." your team to death.
Yet another signing where Krivsky's paying a player for who he's been regardless of who he projects to be in the future. That methodology is just plain madness.
by Reds123 on Dec 21, 2006 9:44 PM EST up reply actions
To lighten the mood
Click the "This" link. It's worth it.
wow
The biggest issue in all this
The problem with this philosophy is that the old veterans make too much for what they do, and at the same time it doesn't seem as if younger, cheaper players with upside will get a fair shot.
The Reds are a team where having $2 million bench players is a luxury they can't afford. All those two and three million dollar deals they've handed out to marginal players adds up quickly.
The most puzzling thing about this strategy is that it's not something I expected out of Kriv. All those years he was the assistant GM with the Twins, they didn't sign ANY veterans as they waited for the young players to develop. Often, they were rushing the young players to the majors.
by cesarhernandez on Dec 21, 2006 9:04 PM EST up reply actions
I disagree
Perhaps you're right
by cesarhernandez on Dec 21, 2006 9:36 PM EST up reply actions
The Twins...
The Tony Batista, Ruben Sierra, Rondell White, and Phil Nevin experiments. Don't even get my started on the pyrite named Carlos Silva.
And they held onto Brad Radke, Kyle Lohse, Jacque Jones, Shannon Stewart, and Torii Hunter for far too long. They should have been looking to swap Silva for value immediately after 2005.
It's a credit to Terry Ryan that the Twins have been able to produce a great deal of home grown talent, grab Nathan/Liriano for Pierzynski, and somehow find Johan Santana in the crapshoot that is the Rule V draft. But for all the young talent Ryan has been able to find, he sure seems to need to be forced into using it.
When Bowden was fired and Krivsky's name popped up, I was intrigued. When O'Brien was hired, I payed attention to how the Twins were running their business because I figured that O'Brien wasn't long for the job.
And what I saw from the Twins was the same pattern you're noting. Don't trust the kids unless they jump in and produce at a high level immediately. Look for vet players who have something of a history and a reputation.
IMHO, the reason Krivsky continues to make these moves is that his mentality is a too-traditional scouting mentality. Allow small sample size and reputation to impact your decisions. Pay players based on their past rather than what they reasonably project to produce in the future.
Pay lip service to statistical analysis and don't listen to anyone who isn't willing to tell you what you want to hear. Scouts telling you that Guardado's arm is shot? Find someone (Guardado's agent) who tells you he's ok. Long-term employees with a history of success (who you didn't hire) tell you it's a bad idea to trade two 90+ RC position players for mediocre middle relief? Don't demand medical records before the trade is finalized, make the trade anyway, and then shut the dissenters out of future decision-making conversations.
Then facilitate an offseason plagued with acquiring low-level contributors while playing a "Veteran leadership" sound byte over and over again. Trade for a guy who's effectively 41 years old and who's at the end of his road at a cost of three minor league resources and 2.25 million dollars. Tell everyone that your scouts told you he was the best option. Of course, these are the same scouts who've told Krivsky what he's wanted to hear for months, so how could they be wrong, eh?
by Reds123 on Dec 22, 2006 2:26 AM EST up reply actions
Stop hyperventilating
Hatteberg and Conine are a stop-gap until Votto arrives. If anything, this confirms the confidence Wayne and Jerry have in Votto making the step up.
A veteran presence is not just about being mediocre, it's about preparing the younger players to find their place in the scheme of things.
Stanton and Weathers are there to bring Bray to the next level.
Hatteberg and Conine will do the same for Votto.
Guys, get an enima or something. There must be a solution to your perennial constipation.
Current Talley
Arroyo $3.80
Harang
Milton $9.00
Lohse
Bray $0.38
Coffey $0.38
Cormier $2.25
Majewsky $0.38
Stanton $2.00
Weathers $2.25
Castro $0.93
Conine $2.25
Deno $0.38
Dunn $10.50
EE $0.38
Freel $2.00
Agon $3.50
Jr $12.50
Hatteberg $1.50
Moeller $0.70
BP $0.38
Ross
Valentin $1.25
$56.71
(OK, that looks like crap, but I think you can see what I mean)
So, needing a starter and a reliever, the payroll is going to be over $70M. And not only does it look worse than last year's team to start with, it's also got 3 pitchers and 4 position players way down the back slope of their careers.
I don't know how, but for an extra $10M over last year, Krivsky has managed to make the team worse.
You know what I just realized
Slyde and his
Holy Shit!!!
I can only imagine what she thought when I countered with "Asadoorian"
mouths of babes
9 year old: Dunn
7 year old: Junior
OBC: "What do you think of Jeff Conine"?
- "Who"?
- "Who's that guy"?
7: "He's not a football player".
OBC: "So should we see more Reds or Freedom games next season"?
9:Freedom
7:Reds
OBC: "What's the best thing about the Reds"?
- "They're in the minor leagues".
- "They have more food"
- Play baseball. Hit a home run.
- Pinch myself and make sure it wasn't true. I'm bad at baseball.
by ohiobobcat on Dec 21, 2006 9:22 PM EST reply actions
another thing no one's said
Bottom line
I'm keeping a keen eye on the AA roster this season, since I'm in rebuilding mode.
by ohiobobcat on Dec 22, 2006 8:24 AM EST reply actions
Harris
"After being designated for assignment yesterday, Brendan Harris told his hometown paper he expects to be traded again.
Makes sense that the Reds would try to get something for Harris, who would've been an extreme longshot to make the big-league roster this spring. If they need reinforcements at the positions he can play, they can use Olmedo or Bergolla."
Didn't Bergolla just sign with another team?
trade Harris
Bergolla
by Simpson on Dec 22, 2006 10:19 AM EST reply actions
Trading Harris
by Simpson on Dec 22, 2006 10:20 AM EST reply actions
ouch
Another thumbs-down for the Reds. Wayne Krivsky's Problem Solving Policy remains "Look at team, identify hole that Marty Brennaman or Hal McCoy comically rant incoherently about, acquire the most famous, cheapest player Wayne remembers from when he was making Terry Ryan's coffee or picking up Terry Ryan's lunch from Gleuk's on 6th Street with exact change and tip because Wayne can't figure out what the numbers on different bills signify.
I'm just really tired of the Reds' moves being jokes on the national level.
Oh come on ...
I like Krivsky - I think I see his grand vision - small trades for now, make big deals for long term, and build from within. And don't bust the budget in the process. I look forward to his future deals.
by Billingsfan on Dec 23, 2006 1:01 PM EST reply actions
This makes sense
"The Trade"? One "prospect" was hurt, the other was DFA'd to make room for Conine. He also traded two minor leaguers for Conine.
On the other hand, he traded a minor leaguer for an injured Eddie Guardado. For Ryan Franklin. For Scott Schoenweis. For Rheal Cormier. For Juan Castro. For Estiban Yan.
So for six guys whose average age was 34; who pitched a total of 81 2/3 innings (average: 16 IP) and had a total of 95 AB; and 2/3 of whom won't be on the team this year, he gave up 6 minor leaguers. And that doesn't even include the Conine trade.
As for "don't bust the budget"? The payroll today is $4M less than last year's, but doesn't include Harang, Lohse, Ross, another starting pitcher, and another reliever. And, there's no room for the two Rule 5 picks. So Hamilton and Burton will have to be on the roster, the DL, or sent back.
Billingsfan has it!
I agree with the strategy of stop-gap solutions
I don't think the Reds were much better in 2006 than they were in 2005. They were in the race longer because the league was historically bad, and I don't credit Krivsky for that. Alos his major move last year hurt more than it helped.
I agree
Something that never gets pointed out is that after April of last year, the Reds were 11 games under .500. I think we often forget that they were so good in April that it could have obscured their poor play for the entire year (because of the average overall record). Also, after Krivsky started wheeling and dealing after the All Star break, the Reds played 3 games under .500. So it's not like he turned them into contenders with his deal. The NL just stunk last year, and the Reds were able to stay in the race because of it.
Stop gaps are short term
Weathers and Stanton are short term to allow either Bray or David Shafer to emerge as a closer.
Hatteberg and Conine are short term, while Votto develops at Louisville this year.
Shafer should be the closer at Louisville this year. He was lights-out at Chatanooga last year.
2.36-ERA .204-OBAvg 16/52-BB/K 1.067-WHIP. He was put on the 40 man roster in late November to protect him from the Rule 5 draft. The only rap on him is his fastball tops out at 92mph.
Wonder...
Sort of like a jumbo shrimp.
by Paul Householder on Dec 26, 2006 6:47 PM EST up reply actions
Krivsky wha???
I thought Bob was coming to quell the stopgaps and future talk and put up a winner. Conine would be fine as strictly a role player, but I fear they will rely heavily on him as they did phillips and ross. A position here or there is fine to stopgap, but look at the rotation. Krivsky said this winter that they were not interested in the high or even mid-level priced pitchers, that they were set with the top 4 in the rotation. Are you kidding me? Harang and Arroyo had the best seasons they can possibly have IMO, and will never surpass that. Loshe and Milton are the next best two you can find? That's a joke. The only thing they are set for is losing 90+ games in 07.
by drsprong on Dec 26, 2006 12:05 AM EST reply actions
Moeller
by Billingsfan on Dec 26, 2006 6:29 PM EST reply actions

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